A PETE QUOTE
George Santayana 1863 - 1952 said:
“Fanaticism consists of redoubling your effort when you have forgotten your aim.”
“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”
This is History 101 for Ed-Biz-4-Me at Apprentice-Ed -
Apprentice-Ed teaches some of the the real and now, grade 1 to university,
not just ancient history, or history ending in 1950.
You will get some real and now in our classes.
The world will watch a horrific future unwind for China:
misled by the globalists, by Barack Hussein Obama, by Xi Jinping
kids need to understand why, and learn from it.
For the next globalist, the next empire builder,
the next tyrant who wants to create interest groups to divide us.
Here beginneth the lesson:
China Failing:
The tongs and triads of China are sensing major economic failure by Xi Jinping in China
GDP will fall below $10 trillion when the 120 million empty homes are counted as negatives, (17 - 7 = 10)
watching their population decline to 800 million by 2050 and 300 million by 2100;
a five-to-one dependency ratio (one worker to provide for five people)
worse than the one-child policy is the 43% abortion rate now standard and the 1.1 babies per woman result:
China is an older population, small number of women at age 27 - 40,
so deadly if that small group of women elect a 1.1 baby rate and 43% abortion.
1) nine million births in 2024 times; but that nine million will be 4.5 million next generation,
2.2 million the next generation, so population in 2100 is really 300 million.
2) 6.5 million marriages in 2024 when each woman has only 1.1 children
(6.5 million marriages means 3.2 million babies, times 80 life expectancy is 250 million population) - even less;
2) 800 million by 2050 - 300 million empty homes - DISASTER
3) 300 million population 2100; 600 million empty homes by 2100 - 75% of total homes. will be empty - no market
4) the on-the-move CCP tongs and triads are the major supplier of invasion and fentanyl through Mexico to America.
5) Xi Jinping and his partner Barack Hussein Obama, from 2012 to 2025, have been trying to escape a failing China with the Belt and Road Initiative
but countries are seeing only increased debt loads - coercive business is failing - see Mexico
6) $50 trillion admitted debt against a real $10 trillion GDP. 5.0 to 1. And China GDP will tumble badly - USA is about 1.2 to 1.
Bad economic decisions (Brick and Road Initiative failed, 300 million homes empty,
aging population, high unemployment,
other countries cutting China out of the supply chain because of bad behavior,
because of failure to meet contract supply timing.
Walmart is down to 15% China products.
Trump has installed tariffs of 100% in response to partners
Barack Obama and Xi Jinping tariffs of 125% and denial of rare metals.
An economic question for master Barack Obama:
if USA imports a huge bunch more of Chinese goods than China imports from USA,
then a 100% tariff by Trump on a really big number is going to be a much bigger number
than a 125% tariff by China on a much smaller USA imports to China.
Do you agree? Want a moment? Call a DOGE?
Do you get the math, Barack Obama? If no, time to go back to school, maybe Apprentice_ed school of economics?
If yes, can you explain to Xi Jinping, your erstwhile partner?
See the problems?
Prior Leaders Who Tried Rapid Expansion
The vast majority of leaders who attempted world domination by rapid forced expansion of business, by armies, by threats,
like 5’9” Xi Jinping and partner 6’1” Barack Hussein Obama have tried since 2012,
have ended up bankrupting their own country.
Julius Caesar; Napoleon; USSR failed 37 years ago, Hannibal; British Empire; Spanish Empire; Empire of Japan; Hitler; the old Russian Empire - the Tsars ended badly -
and now the failed partnership of Xi Jinping and Barack Hussein Obama
join the ranks of the failed would-be-world emperors who tried rapid world-wide expansion;
PFFFFT
Cleopatra, who moved slowly and beneficially, like China used to move long ago, before 2010, before Xi Jinping, before the never-took-economics Barack Hussein Obama.
Those who now expand quickly globally, bankrupt their own country, and end soon thereafter.
Epitaph on Tombstone of Xi Jinping, Barack Hussein Obama, and their buddy Globalists:
“Fanaticism consists of redoubling your efforts when you have forgotten your aim.”
George Santayana, think of the master economists becoming the latest failed no-clothes emperor.
Always, always, always, the would-be emperors thrive on creating large interest groups,
dividing us up, turning us to get the “other guy”. Keep their own acts hidden.
And always, always, always, the worm turns and people leave the interest groups,
until all that is left is the lawyers -
who represent the 200,000, globalist bosses, not the 400 million.
Before 2012, the Chinese expanded slowly and cautiously, then Xi Jinping went ballistic speed on GDP growth and world expansion,
when he joined up with Barack Hussein Obama on Xi Jinping’s 2013 election.
THE TRICK TO FAKE GDP GROWTH AND WRECK LONG-TERM STABILITY - BUILD HOMES NO-ONE WILL EVER LIVE IN
Xi Jinpoing, Barack Hussein Obama, and the 200,000 globalist elite, used a trick to grow GDP quickly since 2010 (by the brilliant economist Xi Jinping, a tong leader, and the dreamer Barack Hussein Obama, who only got out of Harvard because Harvard awards “A” to all their students, automatically) -
the trick of these two brilliant economists and 200,000 globalists, for rapid growth of China GDP, was to fake it by building homes no-one will ever live in. Together, the provinces of China main job, and their ONLY job, became to award/fund massive numbers of forever-to-be-empty homes, tens of millions of forever-to-be-empty homes.
China built ghost cities the size of Manhattan, where no humans, will ever live - for a temporary bump in GDP, and then disaster.
If you know that one real estate construction job produces 12 - 15 other jobs, you see that a $1 trillion investment authorized to developers by the provinces of China produced a $6 trillion addition to GDP.
Great! China then borrowed, and lent, based on this result.
And a whole lot of Globalist companies are now deeply mired in the Chinese massive debts -
not the $50 trillion China government admitted, but the much larger “dark debt” globalists owe in China
WHERE IS THE DOGE TO SHINE A BRIGHT LIGHT
ON ALL THE CORPORATE DEBT HIDDEN AS “OFF-BALANCE-SHEET” IN CHINA?
SO MANY GIANT GLOBAL CORPORATIONS ARE DEAD BROKE,
BUT THE BANKS THEY OWN ARE NOT ALLOWED TO PUBLISH THE DEBTS
OF THEIR OWNERS, THE GIANT STOCK BROKERAGES?
So let’s look at the current China $17 trillion GDP as being $7 trillion (fake) real estate related,
and $10 trillion (real) other than real estate - the $10 trillion is falling.
The $10 trillion is real, the $7 trillion is fake, puffery. The houses being built are empty, empty, empty.
Huge economic downturns later arising from these empty homes.
The provinces brought in the GDP money from the other jobs, but there was zero long-term growth.
They should have just burned the fake currency they printed - debt is now over $50 trillion USD,
in a country with $10 trillion USD GDP. A ratio of debt to GDP of 5.0 to 1.
The USA has a ratio of debt to GDP of about 1.2 to 1 - and nearly all US housing is full, full, full.
China: 5 to 1 debt to income: USA 1.2 to 1 debt to income
Ever try to get a mortgage?
Bank wants you to have no more than 0.3 to 1 mortgage payment to your salary?
The “30%” rule. At 8% interest, you can afford a mortgage of 3.8 times your salary
China is 5.0 to 1, not 3.8 to 1 China is at 500%, NOT 380%
And life as a country is far more problematic than that of a homeowner.
So many countries have defaulted on their debt in the past.
China has 400 million unemployed.
China has 400 million unemployed.
If you default on your mortgage the Bank takes your home. If a country defaults, no recourse.
Get it? An enormous house of cards, toppling as you read.
Just like the 2007 mortgage crash in America. Coming soon. China will be USSR 2030
The Chinese now face enormous problems related to the $50 trillion of admitted debts they have -
five times their “real” GDP of $10 trillion. Then add on the “dark debt” - much larger,
So many Global corporations and big US Banks owe vast seas of debts -
SIDE-NOTE:
WHERE IS THE DOGE?
YOU NEED A PERSONAL INVITATION?
CHECK THE BIG BANKS VERY, VERY, CAREFULLY.
FOR EXAMPLE, ONE OF MANY, CHECK CHASE BANK FOR LOANS TO/WITH JP MORGAN AND CLIENTS,
IS THAT CLEAR ENOUGH?
DITTO WITH BANK OF AMERICA, ALL THE BIG BANKS OWNED BY BROKERAGE COMPANIES
DODD-FRANK ALLOWED THIS.
AND DODD-FRANK KILLED SMALL BANKS.
DODD-FRANK HAS TO GO, AND BROKERAGE HOUSES MUST NEVERMORE OWN BANKS.
EVER
IF YOU WORKED AS AN AUDITOR INSIDE A HUGE BANK,
AND WANTED TO BLOW A WHISTLE ON A HUGE LOAN THE BANK MADE TO A GLOBALIST COMPANY
(OR A FAILED SPIN-OFF - WHERE THE SPINOFF OCCURRED AFTER THE LOAN FAILURE),
AND YOU KNEW THE BROKERAGE COMPANY WHO OWNS THE BANK REALLY DOES NOT WANT THAT LOAN OR FAILED COMPANY REPORTED,
WHAT WOULD YOU DO?
ABSOLUTELY NOTHING.
DOGE TIME
BACK TO CHINA COLLAPSE LESSON
From 2012 to 2021, this went along very swimmingly, then it didn’t.
The music stopped. No developer wants to build, the Provinces are going broke.
THE MASSIVE DEBTS ARE NOT BEING REPAID, AT ALL.
Everybody is staying real quiet, expecting the tsunami to come shortly.
A proper accounting would have been to include the full $17 trillion in GDP,
but then adjust this downwards by the $7 trillion, to a net of $10 trillion.
Similarly, in America we count all of Apple’s income as GDP,
but we really should be subtracting out for Apple’s shifting all their profits overseas.
But we don’t.
Economics lesson over, China is in for a long period of tiny interest rates -
ACTUALLY, IN JAPAN 1980 - 2010, INTEREST RATES BECAME NEGATIVE -
PEOPLE HAD TO PAY BANKS TO LEAVE THEIR MONEY PARKED!!!! ,
China will have a horrific experience with house prices,
since over 30% are now empty and that percentage will increase to 80% -
did I mention the biggest asset of most Chinese people is their home?
Do you know who regulates home prices?
If you guessed the marvelous team of Barack Hussein Obama and Xi Jinping,
with their 200,000 globalist elites, you would be right.
400 million unemployed in China reported.
So many young people unemployed.
Young men rent an office in China, so they can go, stay all day, without work,
just to not lose face in their family.
You think anyone wants to bring a new baby into that horror?
Thinking bigger about this, this will be a human tragedy of unparalleled size.
We should start thinking of helping.
We show some weak thoughts below.
But really hard to implement with a guy
who is the type George Santayana 1863 - 1952 wrote about:
“Fanaticism consists of redoubling your effort when you have forgotten your aim.”
Xi Jinping has a chief economic advisor of Barack Hussein Obama, who never could balance his checkbook -
seriously, there was a Harvard classmate of Obama who said that.
Want to hear something strange? If you get in to Harvard, they give you an automatic “A” in every class!
Guess that’s where the public school got the idea of no-standards from.
Maybe they should have marked Obama’s papers. Did he ever turn any in?
Apprentice-Ed wishes we were in China, we would create 400 million small businesses in 20 years.
Chinese are hard workers, smart, well-disciplined to work, good education.
But they have to be independent to succeed, and
Barack Hussein Obama, partner Xi Jinping, and the 200,000 globalist
absolutely fear independent small businesses above all other fears -
they can’t control independent small businesses.
So, all Chinese should thank Barack Hussein Obama 6’1”, master economist, and Xi Jinping 5’9”, economist “Gung Ho”, for ruining their home value with their rash race to oblivion, with equally-talented Barack Hussein Obama and a feckless 200,000 now-broke globalists as financiers and wrld-domination advisors.
Bien fait!
The tongs are coming, the tongs are coming. And they ain’t named Paul Revere.
Xi Jinping Today and Tomorrow - Slipping Down Slope
The partnership formed by Obama and Xi Jinping in 2012, that exists even today, has caused Xi Jinping to think he is invincible,
to think that he can claim forever because he has an idiot American as a partner.
That is why Xi Jinping seized permanent power in 2024.
You can’t fix stupid.
Hitler listened to his generals, who fed him what he wanted to hear. Hitler smashed over 1,000 eye-glasses,
his use of drugs increased rapidly. Do these guys take drugs? We suppose so.
Xi Jinping and Barack Obama felt threatened enough to escort the biggest tong leader
out of the election meeting a year ago.
This, to us, is a measure of weakness, not strength.
The tongs and their triads sense the Xi Jinping weakness.
The tongs see massively failed initiatives.
The tongs have been around far longer than the 5’9” Xi Jinping and the 6’1” Barack Obama.
The tongs are hunting now, developing their own fentanyl plans, trying to keep wealth.
Human trafficking and Fentanyl is their main game now.
The world gets it, the tongs and triads are in charge…again, as for 2,000 years.
China is once again the tongs and their triads.
THERE ENDETH THE LESSON, AND HERE COMES APPRENTICE-ED
Opportunity For Apprentice-Ed
Hundreds of millions of small business jobs around the world will open up
on the collapsing of China. Doesn’t matter if Xi Jinping is replaced or if China collapses.
China is doomed.
Apprentice-Ed will be ready, and work for you.
Inside China, we can spearhead a massive small business push.
All over the world, we can connect producers with buyers,
change pricing, offer our experienced services.
Wait for it.
It is coming, and relatively soon.
Watch for the tongs grabbing power, and Xi Jinping and Barack Obama reaction.
A lot to answer for.
And also watch for the collapse of the 200,000 globalists,
the reach-out to the US government - all them Senators and Congressmen - for “Too Big To Fail”
Apprentice-Ed will work very hard to fail you forever.
BELOW IS A MIND EXPERIMENT - A PLAN TO RECOVER CHINA
Entirely bereft of the realities of China and the globalists today.
John Fitzgerald Kennedy would have approved and fought for.
Hey John - watch your six for the CIA.
A Plan To Recover China - From 52 Page “Offer to Lease Lo Siento” Report
APPENDIX D: THE HELMSMAN CAN SAVE CHINA (From Lo Siento 100-Year Lease Document)
We are witnessing the decline of China, but the lava has not reached us, so we are still spectators. We are in the time of the decline of China. I have maybe one partial one way to solve this, to have the Helmsman recognize the mighty Chinese ship he guided so carefully and so controlled, against so many obstacles, is now close to shore.
What is needed is a tugboat Captain, to land the ship. Different rules are needed on reaching the shore. Xi Jinping will always be known as the Helmsman, and will be the boss.
Break up China into five countries, triangles along spokes of half a bicycle wheel centered on Bejing – Black, White, Red, Yellow, and Indigo qing. Allow 400 million small independent businesses through Biz-4-Me. Raise salaries by five times for workers – from 15,000 yuan to 75,000 yuan. US levels.
Create an internal economy, internal demand, learn to massively increase imports. Pull back outside the five Chinas.
Relax a bit, smile. It is out of your hands. This is land, not ocean.
Ease up on the controlling, you are ashore now. Restrict the tongs, triads, and warlords of yore. Market the ghost cities to become a destination. Share. Respect your countrymen, it is time for a kindler and gentler leader. You are on land, and China needs lots and lots of babies now.
Ask China families to change their perception of being pregnant in this new land of hope: mothers need to speak to daughters in this new successful, hope-floats China. The dialogue could go:
“Daughter, if you get pregnant, please come to me first. I want you to give birth to my grandson, to give birth to my granddaughter, and I will bring that baby up. You are always the mother, and we will respect your child as our own. Later, when you are settled and wealthier, you can take over the mother duties, or not, as you choose. But that child is your child, and my treasured grandson and my treasured granddaughter, and will always be revered as part of our family. We treasure and adore our family. A husband is not necessary in this circumstance – a treasured grandson or granddaughter is necessary.”
Ask the world to support the Yuan for the new five countries during a twenty-year transition to 400 million small buysinesses.
Before the world pledges support, China must declare forgiveness of the $17 trillion of US debt - US Treasuries directly and indirectly held by China:
1) This debt was in large part created by the 200,000 globalists in conjunction with Barack Hussein Obama supported by many US Sentaors and US Congressmen, as well as USAID and many US Agencies - the money was stolen from the US people - Tammany Hall
2) The USA, and the world, will have to pay, pay, pay, to wait out a 20-year period
while China develops the 400 million small businesses needed.
$17 trillion sounds about right.
The Helmsman will be forever revered as The Helmsman – he has brought the mighty Chinese ship to shore, safe and sound. Statues needed please.
This is not the end of the Han Dynasty, the Han people; this is the door that opened, on reaching land, for the next saga of the Han people.
All of the above is based on probability, and risk identification, risk measurement, risk mediation, and will require risk follow up.
Promote 10,000 risk actuaries, then follow their advice.
Easy-peasy. Gung ho. Actuarial knowledge.